EARTHTRACKER
Sector 02 · Energy entering the system

Radiative Forcing

Measured concentrations are converted to effective radiative forcing (W m⁻²) with either NOAA's AGGI equations or the IPCC AR6 expressions. This is the energy the climate model has to answer to.

Equations

Effective radiative forcing since 1850

Data table

Equations

NOAA AGGI · Myhre et al. 1998 · C₀ 278 ppm · M₀ 722 ppb · N₀ 270 ppb
ΔFCO2=5.35⁢ln(CC0) ΔFCH4=0.036(M−M0)−[f(M,N0)−f(M0,N0)] ΔFN2O=0.12(N−N0)−[f(M0,N)−f(M0,N0)] f(M,N)=0.47ln[1+2.01×10−5(MN)0.75+5.31×10−15M(MN)1.52]
IPCC AR6 · Meinshausen et al. 2020 · ERF = RF × (1.05 CO₂ · 0.86 CH₄ · 1.07 N₂O)
FCO2=(α′+c1N)ln(CC0),α′=d1+a1(C−C0)2+b1(C−C0) FN2O=(a2C+b2N+c2M+d2)(N−N0) FCH4=(a3M+b3N+d3)(M−M0)

C₀ 277.15 ppm · M₀ 731.41 ppb · N₀ 273.87 ppb · a₁ −2.4785×10⁻⁷ · b₁ 7.5906×10⁻⁴ · c₁ −2.1492×10⁻³ · d₁ 5.2488 · a₂ −3.4197×10⁻⁴ · b₂ 2.5455×10⁻⁴ · c₂ −2.4357×10⁻⁴ · d₂ 0.12173 · a₃ −8.9603×10⁻⁵ · b₃ −1.2462×10⁻⁴ · d₃ 0.045194. Above C ≈ 1808 ppm, α′ saturates at d₁ − b₁²/4a₁.

Forcing calculator

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